← Back to dashboard

OPEC+ Production Tracker

Monthly crude-and-condensate production for the 18 OPEC and Declaration of Cooperation partner countries, set against the published quota schedule. The single most important variable for WTI–Brent dynamics, US shale economics, and the post-Russia European diversification.

OPEC+ Production vs Declaration of Cooperation Quotas

Latest data: Jan '26

OPEC+ combined

48.91mbpd

Quota: 33.50 mbpd (non-exempt only)

OPEC core

34.44mbpd

Non-exempt vs quota: +6,427 kbpd

Non-OPEC partners

14.47mbpd

Non-exempt vs quota: +2,028 kbpd

⚠ Publication lag: EIA international data publishes with a ~3-month delay. Latest available period is Jan '26 — this does not yet reflect the Hormuz war period (28 Feb 2026 onwards). Use this tracker for structural context (member composition, quota schedule, pre-war baseline), not real-time post-war production.

OPEC core members

Total: 34,438 kbpd· Quota: 21,058· Compliance: +6,427
CountryProduction (kbpd)
Saudi Arabia11,929.784
UAE4,779.217
Iran4,692.219
Iraq4,508.435
Kuwait2,881.502
Nigeria1,615.291
Algeria1,431.089
Libya1,417.01
Venezuela844.1
Republic of Congo252.819
Equatorial Guinea86.395

Non-OPEC partners (Declaration of Cooperation)

Total: 14,467 kbpd· Quota: 12,439· Compliance: +2,028
CountryProduction (kbpd)
Russia10,678.709
Kazakhstan1,383.023
Oman1,033.563
Malaysia623.769
Azerbaijan550.778
Brunei118.782
Bahrain78.602

Production via U.S. EIA International data (product 53: total petroleum and other liquids; activity 1: production). Quotas from OPEC+ Declaration of Cooperation as of late 2024 — JMMC adjusts these periodically. Note that EIA reports total liquids while OPEC quotas are against crude only, so member-level vs-quota comparison is approximate. Iran, Venezuela and Libya are exempt under the current accord; their production is included in totals but not in quota sums.

Why OPEC+ matters for Americas

US shale–OPEC+ dynamic. For most of the 2010s, OPEC's production decisions were the dominant variable for global oil prices, and US shale was the price-taker. Since 2020 that relationship has inverted into a balance: US production hit record highs (currently around 13.5 mbpd), making the US the world's largest crude producer and a meaningful constraint on what OPEC+ can achieve through supply discipline alone.

Compliance is structurally imperfect. Member quotas in the Declaration of Cooperation are routinely missed at the country level — typically with persistent over-production from Iraq, the UAE, Kazakhstan, and historically Russia, balanced by Saudi Arabia absorbing the discipline. Iran, Venezuela and Libya have exempt status due to sanctions or instability and their production swings on geopolitics rather than quota.

JMMC meetings move markets. The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meets approximately every two months. Its statements (extension, deepening, or unwinding of voluntary cuts) are the primary calendar event for crude markets in normal conditions.

Post-war context. In the current Hormuz scenario, OPEC+ Gulf production is physically stranded rather than quota-constrained — Saudi, UAE, Kuwaiti and Iraqi barrels are produced but cannot ship. That makes the historic compliance frame less useful; the relevant metric becomes capacity stranded by the strait closure, not quota cheating. See the Iran-blockade analysis for the full picture.

Also relevant